Tesi etd-12202024-102342 |
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Tipo di tesi
Tesi di laurea magistrale
Autore
BENETTI, RUGGERO
URN
etd-12202024-102342
Titolo
The arcsine law: a study of the fluctuations of random walks driven by deterministic systems
Dipartimento
MATEMATICA
Corso di studi
MATEMATICA
Relatori
relatore Prof. Bonanno, Claudio
controrelatore Maurelli, Mario
controrelatore Maurelli, Mario
Parole chiave
- arcsine law
- ergodic theory
- random walk
Data inizio appello
24/01/2025
Consultabilità
Completa
Riassunto
Given a symmetric random walk on the integers, the proportion of times that the process spends on the positive side is a very natural subject to question about. Paul Levy showed, in 1939, that this proportion, in the limit, is distributed like a random variable with density 1/pi*sqrt(x(1-x)), which is known as the arcsine distribution.
Motivated by this classical result, we consider a random walk driven by a deterministic system. Let T:X \rightarrow X be a continuous mapping in a measure space, and f:X \rightarrow Z a zero-mean function. We are interested in the proportion of times that S_n(x)=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}f(T^k(x)) is positive as n tends to infinity. To address this, we explore two generalizations of the arcsine law, one probabilistic the other dynamic.
Following Lamperti's work from 1956, the arcsine law is extended to a broader class of discrete-time stochastic processes, including all Markov chains where the state space is divided into two regions by a recurrent state. Lamperti's results led the foundations for all future developments in the area. One significant extension is deeply analized here: referring to Thaler-Zweimuller (2004), we present the arcsine law in the context of infinite-measure dynamical systems. The main result asserts that for a conservative, ergodic, measure-preserving transformation on an infinite-measure space, where the space is separated by a recurrent state in two regions, the mean sojourn time in one of these two subspaces converges weakly to a generalized arcsine law. This convergence holds under certain asymptotic conditions of the relative transfer operator.
This theorem could be applied to the scenario of a deterministic random walk, supporting the idea that fluctuations in such systems are qualitatively similar to those observed for a classical random walk. Finally, we present the results of numerical simulations performed within this framework, with particular emphasis on the one involving the logistic map.
Motivated by this classical result, we consider a random walk driven by a deterministic system. Let T:X \rightarrow X be a continuous mapping in a measure space, and f:X \rightarrow Z a zero-mean function. We are interested in the proportion of times that S_n(x)=\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}f(T^k(x)) is positive as n tends to infinity. To address this, we explore two generalizations of the arcsine law, one probabilistic the other dynamic.
Following Lamperti's work from 1956, the arcsine law is extended to a broader class of discrete-time stochastic processes, including all Markov chains where the state space is divided into two regions by a recurrent state. Lamperti's results led the foundations for all future developments in the area. One significant extension is deeply analized here: referring to Thaler-Zweimuller (2004), we present the arcsine law in the context of infinite-measure dynamical systems. The main result asserts that for a conservative, ergodic, measure-preserving transformation on an infinite-measure space, where the space is separated by a recurrent state in two regions, the mean sojourn time in one of these two subspaces converges weakly to a generalized arcsine law. This convergence holds under certain asymptotic conditions of the relative transfer operator.
This theorem could be applied to the scenario of a deterministic random walk, supporting the idea that fluctuations in such systems are qualitatively similar to those observed for a classical random walk. Finally, we present the results of numerical simulations performed within this framework, with particular emphasis on the one involving the logistic map.
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