Tesi etd-06152024-171422 |
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Tipo di tesi
Tesi di laurea magistrale
Autore
CAVAGNA, GIOSUÉ
URN
etd-06152024-171422
Titolo
Calibration and Validation of DSGE Models by Independent Component Analysis and Model Confidence Set
Dipartimento
ECONOMIA E MANAGEMENT
Corso di studi
ECONOMICS
Relatori
relatore Prof. Moneta, Alessio
Parole chiave
- calibration
- dsge
- high order perturbation methods
- high order perturbation methods
- independent component analysis
- macroeconomics
- model confidence set
- non guassianity
- svar identification
Data inizio appello
15/07/2024
Consultabilità
Completa
Riassunto
I discuss a new method for the calibration and validation of DSGE models. The calibration is performed following a procedure which exploit different instruments.
The core tool is a the model confidence set (MCS), which allows to find the set of the "best" configurations of parameters exploiting a minimum distance index (MDI).
The MCS at the same time allows also to validate the calibration. The MDI measure the distance between the matrix of contemporaneous relations of the SVAR applied to the real data, and applied to the data obtain by the simulations of the model. The SVAR is identified through independent component analysis theory, which is based on the non-gaussianity of the shocks of the models. The thesis proposes a detailed description of the model used, the chosen solution method, the literature review of other method of calibration, the methodology applied and the result obtained.
The core tool is a the model confidence set (MCS), which allows to find the set of the "best" configurations of parameters exploiting a minimum distance index (MDI).
The MCS at the same time allows also to validate the calibration. The MDI measure the distance between the matrix of contemporaneous relations of the SVAR applied to the real data, and applied to the data obtain by the simulations of the model. The SVAR is identified through independent component analysis theory, which is based on the non-gaussianity of the shocks of the models. The thesis proposes a detailed description of the model used, the chosen solution method, the literature review of other method of calibration, the methodology applied and the result obtained.
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