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Archivio digitale delle tesi discusse presso l’Università di Pisa

Tesi etd-06152024-171422


Tipo di tesi
Tesi di laurea magistrale
Autore
CAVAGNA, GIOSUÉ
URN
etd-06152024-171422
Titolo
Calibration and Validation of DSGE Models by Independent Component Analysis and Model Confidence Set
Dipartimento
ECONOMIA E MANAGEMENT
Corso di studi
ECONOMICS
Relatori
relatore Prof. Moneta, Alessio
Parole chiave
  • calibration
  • dsge
  • high order perturbation methods
  • high order perturbation methods
  • independent component analysis
  • macroeconomics
  • model confidence set
  • non guassianity
  • svar identification
Data inizio appello
15/07/2024
Consultabilità
Non consultabile
Data di rilascio
15/07/2094
Riassunto
I discuss a new method for the calibration and validation of DSGE models. The
calibration is performed following a procedure which exploit different instruments.
The core tool is a the model confidence set (MCS), which allows to find the set of
the "best" configurations of parameters exploiting a minimum distance index (MDI).
The MCS at the same time allows also to validate the calibration. The MDI measure
the distance between the matrix of contemporaneous relations of the SVAR applied
to the real data, and applied to the data obtain by the simulations of the model. The
SVAR is identified through independent component analysis theory, which is based
on the non-gaussianity of the shocks of the models. The thesis proposes a detailed
description of the model used, the chosen solution method, the literature review of
other method of calibration, the methodology applied and the result obtained.
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